Corporate Bond Spreads Rise Most Since November: Credit Markets
By Sapna Maheshwari and John Detrixhe
Feb. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Corporate borrowing costs are rising
at the fastest pace in more than two months on concern that
worsening government finances will slow the global economy and
make it harder for companies to meet debt payments.
The extra yield investors demand to own
corporate bonds
instead of government securities widened 4 basis points last
week to 169 basis points, the most since the period ended Nov.
27, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Broad
Market Corporate Index. Spreads widened for three weeks, the
longest stretch in about a year, while those for U.S. high-
yield, high-risk companies expanded by the most since August.
Optimism over the recovering economy that made January the
best start to a year since 2001 for the corporate bond market is
fading as finances in Greece, Spain and Portugal deteriorate,
Japan struggles to emerge from recession and concerns grow that
emerging-market valuations are too high.
BES Investimento do Brasil pulled an international bond offering of as much as $350
million, capping a week of canceled sales from India to Korea.
“The potential impact of spill-over into other markets has
gotten folks to look at risk assets of all types, and you’re
seeing a pullback across the globe,” said
Andrew Karp, a
managing director on Bank of America Corp.’s investment-grade
syndicate desk in New York.
Slowing Returns
Returns are slowing, with company debt gaining 0.12 percent
this month, after adding 1.83 percent in January including
accrued interest, the Merrill Lynch index shows. Treasuries have
returned 0.41 percent this month, after handing investors 1.58
percent last month, another Merrill Lynch index shows. U.S.
corporate bond sales are down 11 percent this year to $147.4
billion, from $165.6 billion in the same period of 2009,
according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Declining issuance and widening spreads may continue as
borrowers monitor how government deficits are managed in Europe,
Karp said.
Elsewhere in credit markets, emerging-market bond spreads
are the widest since November, the cost to insure corporate debt
against default is the highest in two months, and prices of
securities backed by U.S. government agencies Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac with relatively high coupons are at record highs.
At their meeting in Iqaluit, Canada, the Group of Seven
finance ministers pledged to press ahead with economic stimulus
measures even as investors intensify their focus on mounting
budget deficits. Canadian Finance Minister
Jim Flaherty told
reporters that “we need to continue to deliver the stimulus to
which we are mutually committed and begin looking at exit
strategies to move to a more sustainable fiscal track.”
‘Running a Gauntlet’
“They are running a gauntlet, hemmed in between debt
crisis on the one side and a double-dip recession on the
other,” said T.J. Marta, chief market strategist at Marta On
The Markets LLC, a financial-research firm in Scotch Plains, New
Jersey. Marta is also a former fixed-income and currency
strategist at RBC Capital Markets and Citigroup Inc.
Sovereign debt concerns are overshadowing positive economic
news, Deutsche Bank AG fixed-income strategists
Mustafa
Chowdhury in New York and
Ralf Preusser and
Francis Yared in
London wrote in a note to investors.
The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 9.7 percent in January,
the lowest level since August, from 10 percent the prior month,
even as payrolls fell by 20,000, the Labor Department said Feb.
5. White House economic adviser
Lawrence Summers said the nation
is not “too far” from the start of a rebound in jobs.
Credit-Default Swaps
Credit-default swaps on the Markit CDX North America
Investment-Grade Index, linked to 125 companies and used to
speculate on creditworthiness or to hedge against losses, traded
at the highest in more than two months, increasing 9.5 basis
points over two days to 101.75 basis points as of Feb. 5,
according to broker Phoenix Partners Group.
In London, the Markit iTraxx Europe Index of companies with
investment-grade ratings climbed to the highest in almost four
months, rising 5.75 basis points on Feb. 5 to 92.25 basis
points, JPMorgan Chase & Co. prices show.
A credit swaps index linked to 15 Western European
countries including Greece, Portugal, Spain and Italy jumped to
the highest last week since it was introduced in September.
The Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe Index of credit-
default swaps on the debt of 15 governments surged almost 18
basis points to 106.5 basis points, after reaching a record
106.75 basis points on Feb. 4, CMA DataVision prices show.
Junk Bond Losses
Credit swaps pay the buyer face value if a borrower
defaults in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash
equivalent. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point, and equals
$1,000 a year on a contract protecting $10 million of debt.
“The concern is, if you have a sovereign default, who is
exposed?” said
Joe Jackson, head of credit research at St.
Petersburg, Florida-based Eagle Asset Management, which invests
about $18 billion. “It looks like people are aggressively
trying to buy protection against Greece, which leads you to
think there’s probably a lot of exposure out there.”
Speculative-grade corporate bond spreads widened 35 basis
points last week, the fourth straight increase and the biggest
jump since the week ended Aug. 14 when they expanded 37 basis
points, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S.
High-Yield Master II index.
The bonds have lost 0.62 percent this month, after rallying 1.52 percent in January.
U.S. investment-grade credit spreads widened 5 basis
points, the biggest weekly increase in yields relative to
Treasuries since the period ended Oct. 2, when they rose 8 basis
points, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s U.S.
Corporate Master index.
Emerging-Market Bonds
Emerging-market bonds have been among the hardest hit, with
the difference between yields on the bonds and government debt
reaching 3.2 percentage points on average at the end of last
week, up from the low this year of 2.95 percentage points on
Jan. 8, according to JPMorgan’s EMBI+ index.
BES Investimento do Brasil postponed its offering because
it would have been more expensive given “market volatility,”
Paulo Augusto Saba, managing director for global markets, sales
and fixed-income trading in Brazil, said in a telephone
interview. BES was planning to issue five-year bonds, he said.
BES is a unit of Lisbon-based Banco Espirito Santo SA.
“If we were to do the issuance now, we would have to pay
much more, and we didn’t need to do so,” Saba said from Sao
Paulo. “I want to do a beautiful deal. I don’t want to do a
Frankenstein deal in the market.”
India’s
Bank of Baroda canceled a bond sale denominated in
U.S. dollars, and Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., a unit of
state-run Korea Electric Power Corp., delayed a foreign-currency
debt offering until after March, said people familiar with the
matter who declined to be identified because the decisions
hadn’t been publicly announced.
Kraft Bonds Rally
Bonds issued last week by
Kraft Foods Inc., the maker of
Oreos and Cheez Whiz, rose in secondary trading. Northfield,
Illinois-based Kraft sold $9.5 billion of debt in a four-part
issue after increasing the size of the sale from $4 billion and
boosting the spreads offered to investors.
The food maker’s 5.375 percent notes due in 2020 gained 1.3
cents on the dollar from 99.176 cents to yield a spread of 176.7
basis points, according to Trace, the bond-price reporting
system of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. The debt
sold at a spread of 190 basis points, Bloomberg data show.
“It has performed really well,” said Jackson of Eagle
Asset Management. “You start to get concerned if you see these
deals go really poorly. So far we haven’t seen that.”
Not Panicking
New bonds from Sacramento, California-based
McClatchy Co.
also rose, in a sign investors weren’t panicking, money-manager
Martin Fridson wrote in an e-mail. The newspaper publisher’s
$875 million of 11.5 percent notes sold at a spread of 866 basis
points, and rose to 99 cents on the dollar on Feb. 5 from an
issue price of 98.824 cents.
“The newspaper business isn’t one of the strongest sectors
of the economy,” wrote Fridson, chief executive officer of New
York-based Fridson Investment Advisors. “One would not have
expected the offering to fare as well as it did if institutional
investors were in a frantic selling mode.”
Mortgage bonds with higher coupons and guaranteed by
Washington-based
Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac in McLean, Virginia
climbed to records as benchmark Treasury notes gained and
monthly reports showed prepayments slowing last month.
Fannie Mae’s 30-year fixed-rate securities with 6 percent
coupons have climbed 1.2 percent since Dec. 28, to a new high of
107.2 cents on the dollar, Bloomberg data show. Similar bonds
with 4.5 percent coupons, whose returns vary less with changes
in prepayments because they trade closer to face value, have
fallen 1.2 percent after reaching their second-highest level
ever on Nov. 30, to 101.4 cents.
The data released by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac suggested
that the government-supported mortgage companies continued to
buy loans out of the bonds they guarantee after the loans are
modified, as required by the debt’s contracts, according to
JPMorgan and Barclays Capital analyst reports.